Anthropic
privateseeded profile- Last signal
- Active signals
- 21 of 21
- Confidence
- 72%
Signal score, not a calibrated probability · config v1 · scores
SCORE BREAKDOWN
Why it scores this way
Raising the score
decayed points- IPO+15.4 points added to the scoreRegulatory Evidence4 signals after decay · component at 97/100, weighted 16% of the dimension
- IPO+8.0 points added to the scoreFunding Maturitytotal funding $100000M, latest round unknown
- IPO+8.0 points added to the scoreValuation Maturityvaluation $190.0B
- IPO+6.3 points added to the scoreExecutive Evidence11 signals after decay · component at 79/100, weighted 8% of the dimension
- IPO+4.9 points added to the scoreBanking Evidence3 signals after decay · component at 35/100, weighted 14% of the dimension
- IPO+4.0 points added to the scoreMarket Conditions201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
- IPO+4.0 points added to the scoreFinancial Maturityemployees=unknown (0), age=5y (50)
- IPO+2.9 points added to the scoreRecencymost recent supporting signal 5d old (recency factor 0.96)
Holding it back
No contradicting evidence, and nothing has decayed materially yet.
Points are shown after time decay and source-quality weighting. Evidence loses weight on a half-life of IPO 90d · TOK 120d · CHAIN 180d and is dropped entirely after 730 days. Scoring configuration v1. This is a signal score, not a calibrated probability.
Showing component-level attribution. Which individual filing or article moved each component — and the day-over-day change explanation — is part of Pro. Compare plans →
What changed
- Last 10 days
- +4.822.5 → 27.3
- Last 24 days
- +17.89.5 → 27.3
Evidence detected in the last 7 days
- prediction_market_contract
Anthropic IPO odds still favour October despite roadshow slippage, Polymarket data shows
Proactive financial news Tier 4 source, Secondary - Reported IPO exploration / consideration+0.6
Anthropic IPO timetable shifts towards mid-October, sources say
The Daily Star Tier 4 source, Secondary - Executive statement: no near-term IPO
Anthropic Delays IPO To Mid-October, Locks In $15 Billion Credit Line
forbes.com Tier 4 source, Secondary - Investment-bank relationship mentioned+1
Morgan Stanley and Goldman set for leading roles in Anthropic IPO; China injects $54bn into state banks and insurers
TheBanker.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
These are scored events the pipeline retrieved inside the window. A move is not only new evidence: existing signals also lose weight to time decay, corroboration can change, and company attributes such as funding or status can move a component. This list is limited by your plan, so there may be more.
ProHow much of the move was each factor
The windows and the evidence above are the whole free picture: what moved, and what arrived. Pro decomposes the move itself into new evidence, decay, corroboration and attribute changes, per dimension.
- Points from new evidence versus points lost to decay
- Corroboration and source-quality changes, separated
- Attribute changes: funding, valuation, status
- Any two dates, not just the fixed windows
Trend
| Company | IPO | Token | On-chain | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAIArtificial Intelligence | 56 | 0 | 0 | |
| DatabricksSoftware | 50 | 0 | 0 | |
| DiscordSoftware | 40 | 0 | 0 | |
| PlaidFinancial Technology | 35 | 0 | 0 | |
| RipplingSoftware | 33 | 0 | 0 | |
| RampFinancial Technology | 33 | 0 | 0 |
PROFILE
- Founded
- 2021
- Employees
- not on record
- Latest valuation
- $190.0B (reported estimate, 2026-08-14) news.google.com
- Latest round
- Unknown $100.0B (2026-08-21)
- Total funding
- $100.0B
- Major investors
- none on record
- Executives
- none on record
- Aliases
- Anthropic · Anthropic PBC
AI safety and research company developing the Claude model family.
- 2026-08-21 Unknown $100.0Bnews.google.com
IPO SIGNAL SCORE
- Signal score
- 54.5 signal score — not a calibrated probability
- IPO readiness
- 82.5 structural (maturity, funding, valuation)
- Timeline estimate
- prediction model estimate: active preparation signals (6–24 months)
- Filing status
- fact NO PUBLIC FILING DETECTED
- Public/private
- private
- Known banks
- Goldman SachsmentionedMorgan StanleymentionedCitigroupmentioned
- Advisors
- none detected
- Regulatory Evidence15.4 / 16.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 202.7 → 96.6/100 (k=60) × weight 0.16
- Funding Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · total funding $100000M, latest round unknown
- Valuation Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · valuation $190.0B
- Executive Evidence6.3 / 8.0 pts11 signals · 11 decayed signal(s), mass 69.5 → 78.6/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Banking Evidence4.9 / 14.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 21.6 → 35.0/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Market Conditions4.0 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · 201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
- Financial Maturity4.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · employees=unknown (0), age=5y (50)
- Recency2.9 / 3.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 5d old (recency factor 0.96)
- Recent Capital Activity0.5 / 6.0 pts2 signals · decayed funding/valuation signal mass 12.2 → +0.5 pts (cap 6)
- Corporate Restructuring0.5 / 5.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 3.9 → 9.3/100 (k=40) × weight 0.05
- Liquidity Evidence0.0 / 6.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Filing Evidence0.0 / 20.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
54.5 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Reported IPO exploration / consideration+0.6
Anthropic IPO timetable shifts towards mid-October, sources say
The Daily Star Tier 4 source, Secondary - Executive statement: no near-term IPO
Anthropic Delays IPO To Mid-October, Locks In $15 Billion Credit Line
forbes.com Tier 4 source, Secondary - Investment-bank relationship mentioned+1
Morgan Stanley and Goldman set for leading roles in Anthropic IPO; China injects $54bn into state banks and insurers
TheBanker.com Tier 4 source, Secondary - Company announced IPO plans+2.2
From Claude to the Stock Market: Anthropic’s IPO Filing, Explained.
ETF Trends Tier 4 source, Secondary - Company announced IPO plans+5.8
AMD Committed Up to $5 Billion to Anthropic, and Anthropic's IPO Prospectus Is Reportedly Days Away
finance.yahoo.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- Executive statement: no near-term IPO
Anthropic Delays IPO To Mid-October, Locks In $15 Billion Credit Line
forbes.com Tier 4 source, Secondary - Executive statement: no near-term IPO
Anthropic IPO: AI giant delays public offering, eyes $2 trillion valuation, mid-October market debut
timesofindia.indiatimes.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
TOKENIZATION SIGNAL SCORE
- Signal score
- 0.0
- On-chain readiness
- 0.0
- Tokenization partners
- none detected
- Custody
- none detected
- Transfer agent
- none detected
- Exchanges / venues
- none detected
- Settlement
- none detected
- Blockchains
- none detected
- Regulatory Readiness0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Recency0.0 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · no recent signals
- Explicit Statements0.0 / 18.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Executive Statements0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Custody Infrastructure0.0 / 7.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Exchange Relationships0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Blockchain Partnerships0.0 / 10.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Securities Infrastructure0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Settlement Infrastructure0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Tokenization Partnerships0.0 / 17.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
0.0 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Custody0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Settlement0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Kyc Aml Readiness0.0 / 10.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Tokenization Provider0.0 / 14.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Blockchain Integration0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Transfer Infrastructure0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Regulatory Compatibility0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Securities Infrastructure0.0 / 16.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
0.0 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
No evidence of this kind on record.
Signal timeline
- OTHERprediction_market_contract
Anthropic IPO odds still favour October despite roadshow slippage, Polymarket data shows
Proactive financial news Tier 4 source, Secondary - IPOReported IPO exploration / consideration+0.6
Anthropic IPO timetable shifts towards mid-October, sources say
The Daily Star Tier 4 source, Secondary 2 corroboratingHow this scored · 3 evidence items
- IPO+0.62 ptsdecay ×0.96Reported IPO exploration / consideration: base 35 × strength medium × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.55
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondarysame origin
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- IPOExecutive statement: no near-term IPO−1.2
Anthropic Delays IPO To Mid-October, Locks In $15 Billion Credit Line
forbes.com Tier 4 source, Secondary 3 corroboratingHow this scored · 4 evidence items
- IPO−1.21 ptsdecay ×0.96Executive statement: no near-term IPO: base 30 × strength medium × source quality 0.75 (tier 3) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.65
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publicationsame origin
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- BANKINGInvestment-bank relationship mentioned+1
Morgan Stanley and Goldman set for leading roles in Anthropic IPO; China injects $54bn into state banks and insurers
TheBanker.com Tier 4 source, Secondary 1 corroboratingHow this scored · 2 evidence items
- IPO+1.04 ptsdecay ×0.96Investment-bank relationship mentioned: base 25 × strength medium × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.50
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondarysame origin
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- banks
- Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley
- OTHERpre_ipo_derivative
Kraken launches OpenAI and Anthropic pre-IPO perps
crypto.news Tier 4 source, Secondary - IPOCompany announced IPO plans+2.2very high
From Claude to the Stock Market: Anthropic’s IPO Filing, Explained.
ETF Trends Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- IPO+2.18 ptsdecay ×0.95Company announced IPO plans: base 75 × strength very_high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- IPOCompany announced IPO plans+5.8very high
AMD Committed Up to $5 Billion to Anthropic, and Anthropic's IPO Prospectus Is Reportedly Days Away
finance.yahoo.com Tier 4 source, Secondary 3 corroboratingHow this scored · 5 evidence items
- IPO+5.79 ptsdecay ×0.95Company announced IPO plans: base 75 × strength very_high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publicationsame origin
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondarysame origin
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- IPOReported IPO exploration / consideration+1.4
Anthropic Could Be the Next Mega IPO: 2 Magnificent Stocks That Already Own a Piece of the AI Unicorn
finance.yahoo.com Tier 4 source, Secondary 15 corroboratingHow this scored · 19 evidence items
- IPO+1.44 ptsdecay ×0.95Reported IPO exploration / consideration: base 35 × strength medium × source quality 0.75 (tier 3) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.55
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publicationsame origin
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publicationsame origin
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publicationsame origin
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondarysame origin
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- IPOExecutive statement: no near-term IPO−0.4
Anthropic IPO: AI giant delays public offering, eyes $2 trillion valuation, mid-October market debut
timesofindia.indiatimes.com Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- IPO−0.37 ptsdecay ×0.94Executive statement: no near-term IPO: base 30 × strength medium × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.65
- BANKINGInvestment-bank relationship mentioned+2.8
Anthropic Weighs Morgan Stanley And Goldman Sachs For Key Roles In $2 Trillion IPO, Says Report
finance.yahoo.com Tier 4 source, Secondary 3 corroboratingHow this scored · 4 evidence items
- IPO+2.80 ptsdecay ×0.94Investment-bank relationship mentioned: base 25 × strength medium × source quality 0.75 (tier 3) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.50
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publicationsame origin
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 3 source, Major publication
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- banks
- Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley
Showing the 10 most recent of 28 scored events, from the last 30 days. Every one above is real, with its own source and scoring arithmetic.
ProEvery event, not only the most recent
The full history is 28 events. The 10 most recent are above with their evidence intact — Pro removes the window rather than unlocking anything hidden inside it.
- All 28 events, with no date window
- The individual signal behind each score component
- Day-over-day change attribution
- Export and graph exploration
SEC filings
No CIK resolved for this company, so no EDGAR filings can be tracked. Private companies without Form D filings have no CIK.
Institutional relationships
| Relation | Entity | Role | Conf. | Last seen | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MENTIONED | Goldman Sachs | bank | 60% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | Morgan Stanley | bank | 60% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | Citigroup | bank | 50% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
A relationship is a signal, not proof: a bank mention does not mean an IPO mandate.
Signal contributions
These are the real component scores carrying Anthropic right now — the points each contributes, the weight it carries in its dimension, and how many signals sit behind it.
- Regulatory Evidence15.4 / 16.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 202.7 → 96.6/100 (k=60) × weight 0.16
- Funding Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · total funding $100000M, latest round unknown
- Valuation Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · valuation $190.0B
- Executive Evidence6.3 / 8.0 pts11 signals · 11 decayed signal(s), mass 69.5 → 78.6/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Banking Evidence4.9 / 14.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 21.6 → 35.0/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
7 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
54.5 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Regulatory Readiness0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Recency0.0 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · no recent signals
- Explicit Statements0.0 / 18.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Executive Statements0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Custody Infrastructure0.0 / 7.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
5 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
0.0 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Custody0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Settlement0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Kyc Aml Readiness0.0 / 10.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Tokenization Provider0.0 / 14.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Blockchain Integration0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
3 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
0.0 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
ProThe individual signal behind every component
Component-level attribution is on every plan and is shown above in full. What Pro adds here is the row-by-row arithmetic: which filing or article produced each component, and every factor applied to it.
- Every contributing signal with its own row
- Base weight, strength, source quality, corroboration, confidence and decay per signal
- The source document behind each line
- Day-over-day change attribution
IPO Radar is a research and intelligence tool. Scores are signal scores derived from public evidence — they are not calibrated probabilities and not investment advice. FACT, INFERENCE and PREDICTION are kept separate, and every event links to its source.