OP

OpenAI

privateseeded profile
Artificial Intelligence· Foundation models· San Francisco, United Statesopenai.com ↗
Compare
Scores 51 min agoLast event 11 h agoSTALE · SEC never
Radar composite
27.8+10.6over 30 days
ACCELERATING+11.6
Last signal
Active signals
24 of 24
Confidence
71%

Signal score, not a calibrated probability · config v1 · scores

Contributing dimensions

SCORE BREAKDOWN

IPO
55.6
Readiness 100 · structural
Tokenization
0.0
Securities-tokenization evidence
On-chain
0.0
Settlement / custody infrastructure
Explainable scoring

Why it scores this way

Methodology →

Raising the score

decayed points
  • IPO+14.5 points added to the score
    Regulatory Evidence
    4 signals after decay · component at 91/100, weighted 16% of the dimension
  • IPO+8.0 points added to the score
    Funding Maturity
    total funding $122000M, latest round unknown
  • IPO+8.0 points added to the score
    Valuation Maturity
    valuation $190.0B
  • IPO+8.0 points added to the score
    Financial Maturity
    employees=unknown (0), age=11y (100)
  • IPO+6.3 points added to the score
    Executive Evidence
    15 signals after decay · component at 78/100, weighted 8% of the dimension
  • IPO+4.0 points added to the score
    Market Conditions
    201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
  • IPO+2.9 points added to the score
    Recency
    most recent supporting signal 3d old (recency factor 0.98)
  • IPO+2.1 points added to the score
    Liquidity Evidence
    1 signal after decay · component at 35/100, weighted 6% of the dimension

Holding it back

No contradicting evidence, and nothing has decayed materially yet.

Points are shown after time decay and source-quality weighting. Evidence loses weight on a half-life of IPO 90d · TOK 120d · CHAIN 180d and is dropped entirely after 730 days. Scoring configuration v1. This is a signal score, not a calibrated probability.

Showing component-level attribution. Which individual filing or article moved each component — and the day-over-day change explanation — is part of Pro. Compare plans →

Score movement

What changed

7 daily snapshots
25.727.8+2.1radar composite over 10 days
Last 10 days
+2.125.7 → 27.8
Last 24 days
+5.222.6 → 27.8

Evidence detected in the last 7 days

  • Investment-bank relationship mentioned+1

    Citi, JPM Reportedly In Talks To Join OpenAI IPO Bank Lineup

    Stocktwits Tier 4 source, Secondary
  • Reported IPO exploration / consideration+0.4

    Citi, JPM Reportedly In Talks To Join OpenAI IPO Bank Lineup

    Stocktwits Tier 4 source, Secondary
  • pre_ipo_derivative

    Kraken launches OpenAI and Anthropic pre-IPO perps

    crypto.news Tier 4 source, Secondary
  • Company announced IPO plans+4.2

    Softbank's SB Energy files for IPO, says it's 'substantially dependent' on OpenAI

    CNBC Tier 4 source, Secondary

These are scored events the pipeline retrieved inside the window. A move is not only new evidence: existing signals also lose weight to time decay, corroboration can change, and company attributes such as funding or status can move a component. This list is limited by your plan, so there may be more.

ProHow much of the move was each factor

The windows and the evidence above are the whole free picture: what moved, and what arrived. Pro decomposes the move itself into new evidence, decay, corroboration and attribute changes, per dimension.

  • Points from new evidence versus points lost to decay
  • Corroboration and source-quality changes, separated
  • Attribute changes: funding, valuation, status
  • Any two dates, not just the fixed windows
Upgrade to Pro
Score history

Trend

7 daily snapshots
02550751002026-08-192026-09-082026-09-12
Radar IPO Token On-chain
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AnthropicArtificial Intelligence5400
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DiscordSoftware4000
PlaidFinancial Technology3500
RipplingSoftware3300
RampFinancial Technology3300
Side-by-side comparison →
Company overview

PROFILE

Founded
2015
Employees
not on record
Latest valuation
$190.0B (reported estimate, 2026-08-14) news.google.com
Latest round
Unknown $122.0B (2026-03-31)
Total funding
$122.0B
Major investors
none on record
Executives
none on record
Aliases
OpenAI

AI research and deployment company behind ChatGPT and the GPT model family.

Funding history (extracted)
IPO status

IPO SIGNAL SCORE

Signal score
55.6 signal score — not a calibrated probability
IPO readiness
100.0 structural (maturity, funding, valuation)
Timeline estimate
prediction model estimate: active preparation signals (6–24 months)
Filing status
fact NO PUBLIC FILING DETECTED
Public/private
private
Known banks
Citigroupmentioned
Advisors
none detected
Score components
  • Regulatory Evidence14.5 / 16.0 pts
    4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 143.5 → 90.9/100 (k=60) × weight 0.16
  • Funding Maturity8.0 / 8.0 pts
    Company attribute · total funding $122000M, latest round unknown
  • Valuation Maturity8.0 / 8.0 pts
    Company attribute · valuation $190.0B
  • Financial Maturity8.0 / 8.0 pts
    Company attribute · employees=unknown (0), age=11y (100)
  • Executive Evidence6.3 / 8.0 pts
    15 signals · 15 decayed signal(s), mass 68.7 → 78.3/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
  • Market Conditions4.0 / 4.0 pts
    Company attribute · 201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
  • Recency2.9 / 3.0 pts
    Company attribute · most recent supporting signal 3d old (recency factor 0.98)
  • Liquidity Evidence2.1 / 6.0 pts
    1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 19.4 → 35.1/100 (k=45) × weight 0.06
  • Banking Evidence1.0 / 14.0 pts
    1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 3.7 → 7.1/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
  • Recent Capital Activity0.8 / 6.0 pts
    3 signals · decayed funding/valuation signal mass 19.5 → +0.8 pts (cap 6)
  • Corporate Restructuring0.0 / 5.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Filing Evidence0.0 / 20.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window

55.6 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.

Recent IPO / regulatory / banking evidence
  • Investment-bank relationship mentioned+1

    Citi, JPM Reportedly In Talks To Join OpenAI IPO Bank Lineup

    Stocktwits Tier 4 source, Secondary
  • Reported IPO exploration / consideration+0.4

    Citi, JPM Reportedly In Talks To Join OpenAI IPO Bank Lineup

    Stocktwits Tier 4 source, Secondary
  • Company announced IPO plans+4.2

    Softbank's SB Energy files for IPO, says it's 'substantially dependent' on OpenAI

    CNBC Tier 4 source, Secondary
  • IPO priced / listed+3.8

    OpenAI Is Reportedly Targeting an IPO Debut Above $1 Trillion. Should Investors Watch Sam Altman's Path to Public Markets?

    The Motley Fool Tier 4 source, Secondary
  • Executive statement about IPO timing+0.9

    OpenAI’s CFO Just Told Employees the IPO Is Coming in 2027 or Sooner

    finance.yahoo.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
Executive statements
  • Executive statement about IPO timing+0.9

    OpenAI’s CFO Just Told Employees the IPO Is Coming in 2027 or Sooner

    finance.yahoo.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
  • Executive statement about IPO timing+1.1

    OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar says IPO is coming in 2027

    finance.yahoo.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
Tokenization status

TOKENIZATION SIGNAL SCORE

Signal score
0.0
On-chain readiness
0.0
Tokenization partners
none detected
Custody
BNY Mellonmentioned
Transfer agent
none detected
Exchanges / venues
none detected
Settlement
none detected
Blockchains
none detected
Score components
  • Regulatory Readiness0.0 / 8.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Recency0.0 / 4.0 pts
    Company attribute · no recent signals
  • Explicit Statements0.0 / 18.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Executive Statements0.0 / 8.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Custody Infrastructure0.0 / 7.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Exchange Relationships0.0 / 8.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Blockchain Partnerships0.0 / 10.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Securities Infrastructure0.0 / 12.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Settlement Infrastructure0.0 / 8.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Tokenization Partnerships0.0 / 17.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window

0.0 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.

On-chain readiness components
  • Custody0.0 / 12.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Settlement0.0 / 12.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Kyc Aml Readiness0.0 / 10.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Tokenization Provider0.0 / 14.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Blockchain Integration0.0 / 12.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Transfer Infrastructure0.0 / 12.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Regulatory Compatibility0.0 / 12.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window
  • Securities Infrastructure0.0 / 16.0 pts
    Company attribute · no signals in window

0.0 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.

Tokenization / blockchain evidence

No evidence of this kind on record.

IPO Radar is a research and intelligence tool. Scores are signal scores derived from public evidence — they are not calibrated probabilities and not investment advice. FACT, INFERENCE and PREDICTION are kept separate, and every event links to its source.