Grayscale Investments
privateseeded profile- Last signal
- Active signals
- 21 of 22
- Confidence
- 61%
Signal score, not a calibrated probability · config v1 · scores
SCORE BREAKDOWN
Why it scores this way
Raising the score
decayed points- TOK+11.7 points added to the scoreExplicit Statements4 signals after decay · component at 65/100, weighted 18% of the dimension
- IPO+8.9 points added to the scoreRegulatory Evidence7 signals after decay · component at 56/100, weighted 16% of the dimension
- IPO+8.0 points added to the scoreFinancial Maturityemployees=unknown (0), age=13y (100)
- IPO+8.0 points added to the scoreValuation Maturityvaluation $10.0B
- CHAIN+7.6 points added to the scoreSecurities Infrastructure4 signals after decay · component at 48/100, weighted 16% of the dimension
- IPO+4.0 points added to the scoreMarket Conditions201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
- CHAIN+3.9 points added to the scoreTokenization Provider1 signal after decay · component at 28/100, weighted 14% of the dimension
- TOK+3.8 points added to the scoreRecencymost recent supporting signal 7d old (recency factor 0.96)
Holding it back
No contradicting evidence, and nothing has decayed materially yet.
Points are shown after time decay and source-quality weighting. Evidence loses weight on a half-life of IPO 90d · TOK 120d · CHAIN 180d and is dropped entirely after 730 days. Scoring configuration v1. This is a signal score, not a calibrated probability.
Showing component-level attribution. Which individual filing or article moved each component — and the day-over-day change explanation — is part of Pro. Compare plans →
What changed
- Last 10 days
- +8.415.4 → 23.9
- Last 24 days
- +7.816.1 → 23.9
Evidence detected in the last 7 days
- Company announced IPO plans+5.3
Grayscale Investments Files for IPO With $35 Billion in Assets Under Management
Yellow.com Tier 4 source, Secondary - Tokenized shares issued+16.4
Grayscale Reveals Tokenized Equity Volume Hits $3B
Cryptonews.net Tier 4 source, Secondary
These are scored events the pipeline retrieved inside the window. A move is not only new evidence: existing signals also lose weight to time decay, corroboration can change, and company attributes such as funding or status can move a component. This list is limited by your plan, so there may be more.
ProHow much of the move was each factor
The windows and the evidence above are the whole free picture: what moved, and what arrived. Pro decomposes the move itself into new evidence, decay, corroboration and attribute changes, per dimension.
- Points from new evidence versus points lost to decay
- Corroboration and source-quality changes, separated
- Attribute changes: funding, valuation, status
- Any two dates, not just the fixed windows
Trend
| Company | IPO | Token | On-chain | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RippleDigital Assets | 35 | 24 | 22 | |
| ConsensysDigital Assets | 31 | 5 | 3 | |
| KrakenDigital Assets | 37 | 41 | 32 | |
| Circle Internet GroupDigital Assets | 24 | 23 | 25 | |
| Exodus MovementDigital Assets | 19 | 12 | 10 | |
| Gemini Space StationDigital Assets | 35 | 0 | 0 |
PROFILE
- Founded
- 2013
- Employees
- not on record
- Latest valuation
- $10.0B (reported estimate, 2021-11-01) news.google.com
- Latest round
- none on record
- Total funding
- none on record
- Major investors
- none on record
- Executives
- none on record
- Aliases
- Grayscale Investments · Grayscale
Digital-asset investment manager (GBTC, ETHE); filed for a public listing in 2025.
IPO SIGNAL SCORE
- Signal score
- 32.5 signal score — not a calibrated probability
- IPO readiness
- 70.0 structural (maturity, funding, valuation)
- Timeline estimate
- prediction model estimate: early / structural signals only (12–36 months)
- Filing status
- fact NO PUBLIC FILING DETECTED
- Public/private
- private
- Known banks
- Morgan Stanleymentioned
- Advisors
- none detected
- Regulatory Evidence8.9 / 16.0 pts7 signals · 7 decayed signal(s), mass 49.1 → 55.9/100 (k=60) × weight 0.16
- Financial Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · employees=unknown (0), age=13y (100)
- Valuation Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · valuation $10.0B
- Market Conditions4.0 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · 201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
- Recency2.9 / 3.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 5d old (recency factor 0.96)
- Banking Evidence0.6 / 14.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 2.3 → 4.5/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Filing Evidence0.0 / 20.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Funding Maturity0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · total funding unknown, latest round unknown
- Executive Evidence0.0 / 8.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass -2.4 → 0.0/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Liquidity Evidence0.0 / 6.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Corporate Restructuring0.0 / 5.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
32.5 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Company announced IPO plans+5.3
Grayscale Investments Files for IPO With $35 Billion in Assets Under Management
Yellow.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
TOKENIZATION SIGNAL SCORE
- Signal score
- 16.3
- On-chain readiness
- 12.6
- Tokenization partners
- none detected
- Custody
- none detected
- Transfer agent
- none detected
- Exchanges / venues
- none detected
- Settlement
- none detected
- Blockchains
- none detected
- Explicit Statements11.7 / 18.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 52.4 → 64.9/100 (k=50) × weight 0.18
- Recency3.8 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 7d old (recency factor 0.96)
- Blockchain Partnerships0.8 / 10.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 4.2 → 8.1/100 (k=50) × weight 0.1
- Regulatory Readiness0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Executive Statements0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Custody Infrastructure0.0 / 7.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Exchange Relationships0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Securities Infrastructure0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Settlement Infrastructure0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Tokenization Partnerships0.0 / 17.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
16.3 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Securities Infrastructure7.6 / 16.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 32.3 → 47.6/100 (k=50) × weight 0.16
- Tokenization Provider3.9 / 14.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 16.5 → 28.2/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Blockchain Integration1.1 / 12.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 4.7 → 8.9/100 (k=50) × weight 0.12
- Kyc Aml Readiness0.0 / 10.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Custody0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Transfer Infrastructure0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Regulatory Compatibility0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Settlement0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
12.6 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Tokenized shares issued+16.4
Grayscale Reveals Tokenized Equity Volume Hits $3B
Cryptonews.net Tier 4 source, Secondary
Signal timeline
- IPOCompany announced IPO plans+5.3very high
Grayscale Investments Files for IPO With $35 Billion in Assets Under Management
Yellow.com Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- IPO+5.27 ptsdecay ×0.96Company announced IPO plans: base 75 × strength very_high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- TOKENIZATIONTokenized shares issued+16.4very high
Grayscale Reveals Tokenized Equity Volume Hits $3B
Cryptonews.net Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- TOK+8.57 ptsdecay ×0.96Tokenized shares issued: base 100 × strength very_high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- CHAIN+3.90 ptsdecay ×0.97Digital securities infrastructure adopted: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- CHAIN+3.94 ptsdecay ×0.97Tokenization provider engaged: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
Showing the 2 most recent of 16 scored events, from the last 30 days. Every one above is real, with its own source and scoring arithmetic.
ProEvery event, not only the most recent
The full history is 16 events. The 2 most recent are above with their evidence intact — Pro removes the window rather than unlocking anything hidden inside it.
- All 16 events, with no date window
- The individual signal behind each score component
- Day-over-day change attribution
- Export and graph exploration
SEC filings
No CIK resolved for this company, so no EDGAR filings can be tracked. Private companies without Form D filings have no CIK.
Institutional relationships
| Relation | Entity | Role | Conf. | Last seen | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOKENIZES | Securitize | tokenization provider | 60% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | Morgan Stanley | bank | 50% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | SoftBank | investor | 40% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
A relationship is a signal, not proof: a bank mention does not mean an IPO mandate.
Signal contributions
These are the real component scores carrying Grayscale Investments right now — the points each contributes, the weight it carries in its dimension, and how many signals sit behind it.
- Regulatory Evidence8.9 / 16.0 pts7 signals · 7 decayed signal(s), mass 49.1 → 55.9/100 (k=60) × weight 0.16
- Financial Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · employees=unknown (0), age=13y (100)
- Valuation Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · valuation $10.0B
- Market Conditions4.0 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · 201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
- Recency2.9 / 3.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 5d old (recency factor 0.96)
6 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
32.5 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Explicit Statements11.7 / 18.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 52.4 → 64.9/100 (k=50) × weight 0.18
- Recency3.8 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 7d old (recency factor 0.96)
- Blockchain Partnerships0.8 / 10.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 4.2 → 8.1/100 (k=50) × weight 0.1
- Regulatory Readiness0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Executive Statements0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
5 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
16.3 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Securities Infrastructure7.6 / 16.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 32.3 → 47.6/100 (k=50) × weight 0.16
- Tokenization Provider3.9 / 14.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 16.5 → 28.2/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Blockchain Integration1.1 / 12.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 4.7 → 8.9/100 (k=50) × weight 0.12
- Kyc Aml Readiness0.0 / 10.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Custody0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
3 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
12.6 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
ProThe individual signal behind every component
Component-level attribution is on every plan and is shown above in full. What Pro adds here is the row-by-row arithmetic: which filing or article produced each component, and every factor applied to it.
- Every contributing signal with its own row
- Base weight, strength, source quality, corroboration, confidence and decay per signal
- The source document behind each line
- Day-over-day change attribution
IPO Radar is a research and intelligence tool. Scores are signal scores derived from public evidence — they are not calibrated probabilities and not investment advice. FACT, INFERENCE and PREDICTION are kept separate, and every event links to its source.