Circle Internet Group
publicNYSE: CRCLsettlement providerseeded profile- Last signal
- Active signals
- 40 of 43
- Confidence
- 70%
Signal score, not a calibrated probability · config v1 · scores
SCORE BREAKDOWN
Why it scores this way
Raising the score
decayed points- TOK+16.8 points added to the scoreExplicit Statements4 signals after decay · component at 93/100, weighted 18% of the dimension
- CHAIN+11.8 points added to the scoreSecurities Infrastructure4 signals after decay · component at 74/100, weighted 16% of the dimension
- CHAIN+9.0 points added to the scoreTokenization Provider3 signals after decay · component at 65/100, weighted 14% of the dimension
- IPO+8.0 points added to the scoreFinancial Maturitycompany is already public
- IPO+4.0 points added to the scoreMarket Conditions201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
- IPO+3.9 points added to the scoreRegulatory Evidence17 signals after decay · component at 24/100, weighted 16% of the dimension
- TOK+3.8 points added to the scoreRecencymost recent supporting signal 8d old (recency factor 0.95)
- CHAIN+3.8 points added to the scoreSettlement3 signals after decay · component at 32/100, weighted 12% of the dimension
Holding it back
No contradicting evidence, and nothing has decayed materially yet.
Points are shown after time decay and source-quality weighting. Evidence loses weight on a half-life of IPO 90d · TOK 120d · CHAIN 180d and is dropped entirely after 730 days. Scoring configuration v1. This is a signal score, not a calibrated probability.
Showing component-level attribution. Which individual filing or article moved each component — and the day-over-day change explanation — is part of Pro. Compare plans →
What changed
- Last 10 days
- +4.119.5 → 23.6
- Last 24 days
- +12.311.3 → 23.6
Evidence detected in the last 7 days
- Form 8-K current report+0.6
8-K filed by Circle Internet Group, Inc. — 8-K
OfficialSEC EDGAR - Tokenized shares issued+10.5
Circle Internet Group (Dinari Tokenized Stock) (CRCL) Price Prediction for 2026 to 2031
Bybit Tier 4 source, Secondary - Secondary share transaction+0.7
Circle (CRCL) CFO sells shares at $92.20 and $87.87 under 10b5-1 plan
Stock Titan Tier 4 source, Secondary - Explicit tokenized-securities statement+4.9
Circle Internet Group Tokenized bStocks Price (CRCLB/USD) Today | Live Price, Market Cap & Chart
Binance Tier 4 source, Secondary
These are scored events the pipeline retrieved inside the window. A move is not only new evidence: existing signals also lose weight to time decay, corroboration can change, and company attributes such as funding or status can move a component. This list is limited by your plan, so there may be more.
ProHow much of the move was each factor
The windows and the evidence above are the whole free picture: what moved, and what arrived. Pro decomposes the move itself into new evidence, decay, corroboration and attribute changes, per dimension.
- Points from new evidence versus points lost to decay
- Corroboration and source-quality changes, separated
- Attribute changes: funding, valuation, status
- Any two dates, not just the fixed windows
Trend
| Company | IPO | Token | On-chain | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exodus MovementDigital Assets | 19 | 12 | 10 | |
| BullishDigital Assets | 28 | 33 | 36 | |
| Gemini Space StationDigital Assets | 35 | 0 | 0 | |
| BitGoDigital Assets | 49 | 32 | 28 | |
| RippleDigital Assets | 35 | 24 | 22 | |
| Grayscale InvestmentsDigital Assets | 32 | 16 | 13 |
PROFILE
- Founded
- 2013
- Employees
- not on record
- Latest valuation
- none on record
- Latest round
- none on record
- Total funding
- none on record
- Major investors
- none on record
- Executives
- none on record
- Aliases
- Circle Internet Group · Circle · Circle Internet Financial · Circle Internet Financial Ltd · Circle Internet Finance Public Ltd Co · CIrcle Acquisition Public Ltd Co
Issuer of the USDC stablecoin; listed on the NYSE in June 2025.
IPO SIGNAL SCORE
- Signal score
- 23.9 signal score — not a calibrated probability
- IPO readiness
- 35.0 structural (maturity, funding, valuation)
- Timeline estimate
- prediction already public
- Filing status
- fact PUBLIC
- Public/private
- public
- Known banks
- none detected
- Advisors
- none detected
- Financial Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · company is already public
- Market Conditions4.0 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · 201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
- Regulatory Evidence3.9 / 16.0 pts17 signals · 17 decayed signal(s), mass 16.8 → 24.4/100 (k=60) × weight 0.16
- Filing Evidence3.2 / 20.0 pts6 signals · 6 decayed signal(s), mass 9.6 → 16.0/100 (k=55) × weight 0.2
- Recency2.9 / 3.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 5d old (recency factor 0.97)
- Recent Capital Activity1.2 / 6.0 pts2 signals · decayed funding/valuation signal mass 29.5 → +1.2 pts (cap 6)
- Liquidity Evidence0.7 / 6.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 5.5 → 11.4/100 (k=45) × weight 0.06
- Valuation Maturity0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no valuation on record
- Funding Maturity0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · total funding unknown, latest round unknown
- Corporate Restructuring0.0 / 5.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Banking Evidence0.0 / 14.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Executive Evidence0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
23.9 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Form 8-K current report+0.6
8-K filed by Circle Internet Group, Inc. — 8-K
OfficialSEC EDGAR - Secondary share transaction+0.7
Circle (CRCL) CFO sells shares at $92.20 and $87.87 under 10b5-1 plan
Stock Titan Tier 4 source, Secondary
- Explicit tokenized-securities statement+4.9
Circle Internet Group Tokenized bStocks Price (CRCLB/USD) Today | Live Price, Market Cap & Chart
Binance Tier 4 source, Secondary
TOKENIZATION SIGNAL SCORE
- Signal score
- 22.9
- On-chain readiness
- 24.7
- Tokenization partners
- DinaritokenizesDinarimentioned
- Custody
- none detected
- Transfer agent
- none detected
- Exchanges / venues
- RobinhoodmentionedNew York Stock Exchangementioned
- Settlement
- none detected
- Blockchains
- Solanasettles on
- Explicit Statements16.8 / 18.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 136.6 → 93.5/100 (k=50) × weight 0.18
- Recency3.8 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 8d old (recency factor 0.95)
- Settlement Infrastructure2.2 / 8.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 14.6 → 27.7/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Regulatory Readiness0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Executive Statements0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Custody Infrastructure0.0 / 7.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Exchange Relationships0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Blockchain Partnerships0.0 / 10.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Securities Infrastructure0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Tokenization Partnerships0.0 / 17.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
22.9 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Securities Infrastructure11.8 / 16.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 67.1 → 73.9/100 (k=50) × weight 0.16
- Tokenization Provider9.0 / 14.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 51.8 → 64.5/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Settlement3.8 / 12.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 17.2 → 31.8/100 (k=45) × weight 0.12
- Transfer Infrastructure0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Regulatory Compatibility0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Blockchain Integration0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Kyc Aml Readiness0.0 / 10.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Custody0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
24.7 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Tokenized shares issued+10.5
Circle Internet Group (Dinari Tokenized Stock) (CRCL) Price Prediction for 2026 to 2031
Bybit Tier 4 source, Secondary - Explicit tokenized-securities statement+4.9
Circle Internet Group Tokenized bStocks Price (CRCLB/USD) Today | Live Price, Market Cap & Chart
Binance Tier 4 source, Secondary - Stablecoin settlement adopted+2.6
Circle Stock (CRCL) Falls as U.S. Banks Move to Issue Joint Stablecoin
TipRanks Tier 4 source, Secondary - general_blockchain_commentary
Circle Internet Group Stock Jumped 10% Yesterday. Bitcoin’s Breakout Wasn’t the Whole Story.
TIKR.com Tier 4 source, Secondary - Tokenized shares issued+12.5
Circle Internet Group Tokenized Stock (Ondo) Price Prediction 2026, 2027, 2030 & Beyond: Yearly Forecast
Binance Tier 4 source, Secondary
Signal timeline
- REGULATORYForm 8-K current report+0.6
8-K filed by Circle Internet Group, Inc. — 8-K
Items: 1.01,3.02,7.01,9.01
OfficialSEC EDGARHow this scored
- IPO+0.60 ptsdecay ×0.97Form 8-K current report: base 8 × strength low × source quality 1.00 (tier 1) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.95
- items
- 1.01,3.02,7.01,9.01
- formType
- 8-K
- accessionNumber
- 0001876042-26-000267
- TOKENIZATIONTokenized shares issued+10.5very high
Circle Internet Group (Dinari Tokenized Stock) (CRCL) Price Prediction for 2026 to 2031
Bybit Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- TOK+4.70 ptsdecay ×0.95Tokenized shares issued: base 100 × strength very_high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- CHAIN+2.90 ptsdecay ×0.97Digital securities infrastructure adopted: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- CHAIN+2.87 ptsdecay ×0.97Tokenization provider engaged: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- providers
- Dinari
- FUNDINGSecondary share transaction+0.7
Circle (CRCL) CFO sells shares at $92.20 and $87.87 under 10b5-1 plan
Stock Titan Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- IPO+0.69 ptsdecay ×0.94Secondary share transaction: base 30 × strength medium × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.65
- TOKENIZATIONExplicit tokenized-securities statement+4.9high
Circle Internet Group Tokenized bStocks Price (CRCLB/USD) Today | Live Price, Market Cap & Chart
Binance Tier 4 source, Secondary 1 corroboratingHow this scored · 2 evidence items
- TOK+2.23 ptsdecay ×0.95Explicit tokenized-securities statement: base 60 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
- CHAIN+2.70 ptsdecay ×0.96Digital securities infrastructure adopted: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondarysame origin
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- SETTLEMENTStablecoin settlement adopted+2.6
Circle Stock (CRCL) Falls as U.S. Banks Move to Issue Joint Stablecoin
TipRanks Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- TOK+1.03 ptsdecay ×0.94Stablecoin settlement adopted: base 40 × strength medium × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
- CHAIN+1.53 ptsdecay ×0.96On-chain settlement capability: base 40 × strength medium × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
- providers
- Circle
- BLOCKCHAINgeneral_blockchain_commentary
Circle Internet Group Stock Jumped 10% Yesterday. Bitcoin’s Breakout Wasn’t the Whole Story.
TIKR.com Tier 4 source, Secondarylow confidence 50% - TOKENIZATIONTokenized shares issued+12.5very high
Circle Internet Group Tokenized Stock (Ondo) Price Prediction 2026, 2027, 2030 & Beyond: Yearly Forecast
Binance Tier 4 source, Secondary 1 corroboratingHow this scored · 2 evidence items
- TOK+5.56 ptsdecay ×0.92Tokenized shares issued: base 100 × strength very_high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- CHAIN+3.47 ptsdecay ×0.95Digital securities infrastructure adopted: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- CHAIN+3.43 ptsdecay ×0.95Tokenization provider engaged: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondarysame origin
- news.google.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
- providers
- Ondo Finance
- TOKENIZATIONTokenized shares issued+9.8very high
Circle Internet Group Tokenized Stock (Robinhood) Analytics
CryptoRank Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- TOK+4.34 ptsdecay ×0.88Tokenized shares issued: base 100 × strength very_high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- CHAIN+2.75 ptsdecay ×0.92Digital securities infrastructure adopted: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- CHAIN+2.73 ptsdecay ×0.92Tokenization provider engaged: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
Showing the 8 most recent of 34 scored events, from the last 30 days. Every one above is real, with its own source and scoring arithmetic.
ProEvery event, not only the most recent
The full history is 34 events. The 8 most recent are above with their evidence intact — Pro removes the window rather than unlocking anything hidden inside it.
- All 34 events, with no date window
- The individual signal behind each score component
- Day-over-day change attribution
- Export and graph exploration
SEC filings
| Filed | Form | Description | 8-K items | Seen | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 10 h ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-09 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 10 h ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-08 | 144 | not on record | 3 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-09-08 | 8-K | 8-K | 1.01,3.02,7.01,9.01 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-08 | 144 | not on record | 3 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-09-03 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-03 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-03 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-03 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-03 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-03 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-03 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-02 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-09-02 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-09-02 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-09-01 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-09-01 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-24 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-21 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-21 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-20 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-14 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-13 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-12 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-11 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-10 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-07 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-07 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-06 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-05 | 8-K | 8-K | 2.02,9.01 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-05 | 10-Q | 10-Q | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-05 | S-3ASR | S-3ASR | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-04 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-04 | 144 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-04 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-04 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-04 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-04 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-04 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-04 | 4 | FORM 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
Institutional relationships
| Relation | Entity | Role | Conf. | Last seen | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOKENIZES | Dinari | tokenization provider | 80% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| TOKENIZES | Ondo Finance | tokenization provider | 80% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| SETTLES ON | Solana | blockchain | 60% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | Dinari | tokenization provider | 40% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | Robinhood | broker | 40% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | New York Stock Exchange | exchange | 40% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
A relationship is a signal, not proof: a bank mention does not mean an IPO mandate.
Signal contributions
These are the real component scores carrying Circle Internet Group right now — the points each contributes, the weight it carries in its dimension, and how many signals sit behind it.
- Financial Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · company is already public
- Market Conditions4.0 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · 201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
- Regulatory Evidence3.9 / 16.0 pts17 signals · 17 decayed signal(s), mass 16.8 → 24.4/100 (k=60) × weight 0.16
- Filing Evidence3.2 / 20.0 pts6 signals · 6 decayed signal(s), mass 9.6 → 16.0/100 (k=55) × weight 0.2
- Recency2.9 / 3.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 5d old (recency factor 0.97)
7 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
23.9 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Explicit Statements16.8 / 18.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 136.6 → 93.5/100 (k=50) × weight 0.18
- Recency3.8 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 8d old (recency factor 0.95)
- Settlement Infrastructure2.2 / 8.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 14.6 → 27.7/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Regulatory Readiness0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Executive Statements0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
5 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
22.9 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Securities Infrastructure11.8 / 16.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 67.1 → 73.9/100 (k=50) × weight 0.16
- Tokenization Provider9.0 / 14.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 51.8 → 64.5/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Settlement3.8 / 12.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 17.2 → 31.8/100 (k=45) × weight 0.12
- Transfer Infrastructure0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Regulatory Compatibility0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
3 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
24.7 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
ProThe individual signal behind every component
Component-level attribution is on every plan and is shown above in full. What Pro adds here is the row-by-row arithmetic: which filing or article produced each component, and every factor applied to it.
- Every contributing signal with its own row
- Base weight, strength, source quality, corroboration, confidence and decay per signal
- The source document behind each line
- Day-over-day change attribution
IPO Radar is a research and intelligence tool. Scores are signal scores derived from public evidence — they are not calibrated probabilities and not investment advice. FACT, INFERENCE and PREDICTION are kept separate, and every event links to its source.