BitGo
publicNYSE: BTGOcustodianseeded profile- Last signal
- Active signals
- 66 of 74
- Confidence
- 71%
Signal score, not a calibrated probability · config v1 · scores
SCORE BREAKDOWN
Why it scores this way
Raising the score
decayed points- TOK+14.8 points added to the scoreExplicit Statements6 signals after decay · component at 82/100, weighted 18% of the dimension
- CHAIN+14.3 points added to the scoreSecurities Infrastructure10 signals after decay · component at 89/100, weighted 16% of the dimension
- IPO+9.1 points added to the scoreRegulatory Evidence17 signals after decay · component at 57/100, weighted 16% of the dimension
- CHAIN+8.7 points added to the scoreTokenization Provider3 signals after decay · component at 62/100, weighted 14% of the dimension
- IPO+8.7 points added to the scoreFiling Evidence5 signals after decay · component at 43/100, weighted 20% of the dimension
- IPO+8.0 points added to the scoreFinancial Maturitycompany is already public
- IPO+8.0 points added to the scoreFunding Maturitytotal funding $1943M, latest round unknown
- TOK+5.9 points added to the scoreTokenization Partnerships1 signal after decay · component at 34/100, weighted 17% of the dimension
Holding it back
No contradicting evidence, and nothing has decayed materially yet.
Points are shown after time decay and source-quality weighting. Evidence loses weight on a half-life of IPO 90d · TOK 120d · CHAIN 180d and is dropped entirely after 730 days. Scoring configuration v1. This is a signal score, not a calibrated probability.
Showing component-level attribution. Which individual filing or article moved each component — and the day-over-day change explanation — is part of Pro. Compare plans →
What changed
- Last 10 days
- +0.639.1 → 39.7
- Last 24 days
- -0.139.8 → 39.7
Evidence detected in the last 7 days
- Form 8-K current report+0.4
8-K filed by BITGO HOLDINGS, INC. — 8-K
OfficialSEC EDGAR - Stablecoin settlement adopted+2.5
BitGo To Custody StableX's $100M Stablecoin Treasury
CoinMarketCap Tier 4 source, Secondary
These are scored events the pipeline retrieved inside the window. A move is not only new evidence: existing signals also lose weight to time decay, corroboration can change, and company attributes such as funding or status can move a component. This list is limited by your plan, so there may be more.
ProHow much of the move was each factor
The windows and the evidence above are the whole free picture: what moved, and what arrived. Pro decomposes the move itself into new evidence, decay, corroboration and attribute changes, per dimension.
- Points from new evidence versus points lost to decay
- Corroboration and source-quality changes, separated
- Attribute changes: funding, valuation, status
- Any two dates, not just the fixed windows
Trend
| Company | IPO | Token | On-chain | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Circle Internet GroupDigital Assets | 24 | 23 | 25 | |
| BullishDigital Assets | 28 | 33 | 36 | |
| Gemini Space StationDigital Assets | 35 | 0 | 0 | |
| RippleDigital Assets | 35 | 24 | 22 | |
| KrakenDigital Assets | 37 | 41 | 32 | |
| Exodus MovementDigital Assets | 19 | 12 | 10 |
PROFILE
- Founded
- 2013
- Employees
- not on record
- Latest valuation
- $2.10B (reported estimate, 2026-01-27) news.google.com
- Latest round
- Unknown $1.75B (2023-08-16)
- Total funding
- $1.94B
- Major investors
- none on record
- Executives
- none on record
- Aliases
- BitGo
Regulated digital-asset custodian and wallet infrastructure; filed for an IPO in 2025.
- 2023-08-16 Unknown $1.75Bnews.google.com
- 2022-10-20 Private Placement $420Ksec.gov
- 2019-07-17 Private Placement $216Ksec.gov
- 2018-10-25 Private Placement $15Msec.gov
- 2018-05-21 Private Placement $177Msec.gov
IPO SIGNAL SCORE
- Signal score
- 48.8 signal score — not a calibrated probability
- IPO readiness
- 83.4 structural (maturity, funding, valuation)
- Timeline estimate
- prediction already public
- Filing status
- fact PUBLIC
- Public/private
- public
- Known banks
- Morgan Stanleymentioned
- Advisors
- none detected
- Regulatory Evidence9.1 / 16.0 pts17 signals · 17 decayed signal(s), mass 50.8 → 57.1/100 (k=60) × weight 0.16
- Filing Evidence8.7 / 20.0 pts5 signals · 5 decayed signal(s), mass 31.2 → 43.3/100 (k=55) × weight 0.2
- Financial Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · company is already public
- Funding Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · total funding $1943M, latest round unknown
- Valuation Maturity4.2 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · valuation $2.1B
- Market Conditions4.0 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · 201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
- Recency2.7 / 3.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 16d old (recency factor 0.89)
- Executive Evidence1.8 / 8.0 pts5 signals · 5 decayed signal(s), mass 11.2 → 22.1/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Recent Capital Activity1.2 / 6.0 pts13 signals · decayed funding/valuation signal mass 29.4 → +1.2 pts (cap 6)
- Banking Evidence0.6 / 14.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 2.3 → 4.5/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Corporate Restructuring0.6 / 5.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 5.1 → 12.0/100 (k=40) × weight 0.05
- Liquidity Evidence0.0 / 6.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
48.8 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Form 8-K current report+0.4
8-K filed by BITGO HOLDINGS, INC. — 8-K
OfficialSEC EDGAR
TOKENIZATION SIGNAL SCORE
- Signal score
- 31.7
- On-chain readiness
- 27.9
- Tokenization partners
- none detected
- Custody
- FireblockscustodiesFireblocksmentioned
- Transfer agent
- none detected
- Exchanges / venues
- New York Stock Exchangementioned
- Settlement
- none detected
- Blockchains
- none detected
- Explicit Statements14.8 / 18.0 pts6 signals · 6 decayed signal(s), mass 86.6 → 82.3/100 (k=50) × weight 0.18
- Tokenization Partnerships5.9 / 17.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 23.2 → 34.5/100 (k=55) × weight 0.17
- Exchange Relationships4.9 / 8.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 43.1 → 61.6/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Recency3.6 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 16d old (recency factor 0.91)
- Settlement Infrastructure2.1 / 8.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 13.9 → 26.5/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Custody Infrastructure0.3 / 7.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 2.3 → 5.0/100 (k=45) × weight 0.07
- Regulatory Readiness0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Executive Statements0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Blockchain Partnerships0.0 / 10.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Securities Infrastructure0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
31.7 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Securities Infrastructure14.3 / 16.0 pts10 signals · 10 decayed signal(s), mass 111.8 → 89.3/100 (k=50) × weight 0.16
- Tokenization Provider8.7 / 14.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 48.7 → 62.2/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Settlement3.8 / 12.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 17.2 → 31.7/100 (k=45) × weight 0.12
- Custody1.1 / 12.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 4.3 → 9.2/100 (k=45) × weight 0.12
- Blockchain Integration0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Transfer Infrastructure0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Regulatory Compatibility0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Kyc Aml Readiness0.0 / 10.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
27.9 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Stablecoin settlement adopted+2.5
BitGo To Custody StableX's $100M Stablecoin Treasury
CoinMarketCap Tier 4 source, Secondary
Signal timeline
- REGULATORYForm 8-K current report+0.4
8-K filed by BITGO HOLDINGS, INC. — 8-K
Items: 1.01,7.01,9.01
OfficialSEC EDGARHow this scored
- IPO+0.42 ptsdecay ×0.89Form 8-K current report: base 8 × strength low × source quality 1.00 (tier 1) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.95
- items
- 1.01,7.01,9.01
- formType
- 8-K
- accessionNumber
- 0001740604-26-000056
- SETTLEMENTStablecoin settlement adopted+2.5
BitGo To Custody StableX's $100M Stablecoin Treasury
CoinMarketCap Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- TOK+1.00 ptsdecay ×0.91Stablecoin settlement adopted: base 40 × strength medium × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
- CHAIN+1.50 ptsdecay ×0.94On-chain settlement capability: base 40 × strength medium × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
- providers
- BitGo
Showing the 2 most recent of 62 scored events, from the last 30 days. Every one above is real, with its own source and scoring arithmetic.
ProEvery event, not only the most recent
The full history is 62 events. The 2 most recent are above with their evidence intact — Pro removes the window rather than unlocking anything hidden inside it.
- All 62 events, with no date window
- The individual signal behind each score component
- Day-over-day change attribution
- Export and graph exploration
SEC filings
| Filed | Form | Description | 8-K items | Seen | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | 4 | not on record | 10 h ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-09-09 | 4 | not on record | 10 h ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-09-09 | 4 | not on record | 10 h ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-09-02 | SCHEDULE 13G | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-28 | 8-K | 8-K | 1.01,7.01,9.01 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-12 | 10-Q | 10-Q | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-12 | 8-K | 8-K | 2.02,5.02,9.01 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-11 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-11 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-11 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-07-28 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-07-28 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-07-28 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-07-10 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-07-10 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-06-25 | 8-K | 8-K | 7.01,9.01 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-06-22 | 8-K | 8-K | 5.02 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-06-17 | 8-K | 8-K | 8.01,9.01 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-06-12 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-06-12 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-06-05 | SCHEDULE 13G | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-05-29 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-05-15 | SCHEDULE 13G | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-05-14 | 10-Q | 10-Q | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-05-13 | 8-K | 8-K | 2.02,9.01 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-05-05 | 3 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-04-06 | 8-K | 8-K | 4.01,9.01 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-04-01 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-04-01 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-04-01 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-04-01 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-03-27 | 10-K | 10-K | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-03-26 | 8-K | 8-K | 2.02,9.01 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-03-25 | 4/A | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-03-25 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-03-23 | 8-K | 8-K | 5.02 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-01-27 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-01-27 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-01-27 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-01-27 | 4 | not on record | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
Institutional relationships
| Relation | Entity | Role | Conf. | Last seen | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOKENIZES | Ondo Finance | tokenization provider | 90% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| ← CUSTODIES | Ondo Finance | tokenization provider | 90% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| ← CUSTODIES | Figure Technology Solutions | tokenization provider | 70% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| CUSTODIES | Fireblocks | custodian | 60% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| ← CUSTODIES | Ripple | issuer | 60% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | Morgan Stanley | bank | 50% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | Fireblocks | custodian | 40% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | New York Stock Exchange | exchange | 40% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
A relationship is a signal, not proof: a bank mention does not mean an IPO mandate.
Signal contributions
These are the real component scores carrying BitGo right now — the points each contributes, the weight it carries in its dimension, and how many signals sit behind it.
- Regulatory Evidence9.1 / 16.0 pts17 signals · 17 decayed signal(s), mass 50.8 → 57.1/100 (k=60) × weight 0.16
- Filing Evidence8.7 / 20.0 pts5 signals · 5 decayed signal(s), mass 31.2 → 43.3/100 (k=55) × weight 0.2
- Financial Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · company is already public
- Funding Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · total funding $1943M, latest round unknown
- Valuation Maturity4.2 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · valuation $2.1B
7 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
48.8 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Explicit Statements14.8 / 18.0 pts6 signals · 6 decayed signal(s), mass 86.6 → 82.3/100 (k=50) × weight 0.18
- Tokenization Partnerships5.9 / 17.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 23.2 → 34.5/100 (k=55) × weight 0.17
- Exchange Relationships4.9 / 8.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass 43.1 → 61.6/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Recency3.6 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 16d old (recency factor 0.91)
- Settlement Infrastructure2.1 / 8.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 13.9 → 26.5/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
5 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
31.7 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Securities Infrastructure14.3 / 16.0 pts10 signals · 10 decayed signal(s), mass 111.8 → 89.3/100 (k=50) × weight 0.16
- Tokenization Provider8.7 / 14.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 48.7 → 62.2/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Settlement3.8 / 12.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 17.2 → 31.7/100 (k=45) × weight 0.12
- Custody1.1 / 12.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 4.3 → 9.2/100 (k=45) × weight 0.12
- Blockchain Integration0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
3 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
27.9 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
ProThe individual signal behind every component
Component-level attribution is on every plan and is shown above in full. What Pro adds here is the row-by-row arithmetic: which filing or article produced each component, and every factor applied to it.
- Every contributing signal with its own row
- Base weight, strength, source quality, corroboration, confidence and decay per signal
- The source document behind each line
- Day-over-day change attribution
IPO Radar is a research and intelligence tool. Scores are signal scores derived from public evidence — they are not calibrated probabilities and not investment advice. FACT, INFERENCE and PREDICTION are kept separate, and every event links to its source.