Bullish
publicNYSE: BLSHexchangeseeded profile- Last signal
- Active signals
- 51 of 54
- Confidence
- 69%
Signal score, not a calibrated probability · config v1 · scores
SCORE BREAKDOWN
Why it scores this way
Raising the score
decayed points- TOK+17.8 points added to the scoreExplicit Statements10 signals after decay · component at 99/100, weighted 18% of the dimension
- CHAIN+15.8 points added to the scoreSecurities Infrastructure12 signals after decay · component at 99/100, weighted 16% of the dimension
- IPO+10.7 points added to the scoreRegulatory Evidence11 signals after decay · component at 67/100, weighted 16% of the dimension
- IPO+8.0 points added to the scoreFinancial Maturitycompany is already public
- CHAIN+7.1 points added to the scoreTokenization Provider2 signals after decay · component at 50/100, weighted 14% of the dimension
- TOK+5.1 points added to the scoreExchange Relationships2 signals after decay · component at 63/100, weighted 8% of the dimension
- CHAIN+4.8 points added to the scoreTransfer Infrastructure1 signal after decay · component at 40/100, weighted 12% of the dimension
- CHAIN+4.8 points added to the scoreRegulatory Compatibility2 signals after decay · component at 40/100, weighted 12% of the dimension
Holding it back
No contradicting evidence, and nothing has decayed materially yet.
Points are shown after time decay and source-quality weighting. Evidence loses weight on a half-life of IPO 90d · TOK 120d · CHAIN 180d and is dropped entirely after 730 days. Scoring configuration v1. This is a signal score, not a calibrated probability.
Showing component-level attribution. Which individual filing or article moved each component — and the day-over-day change explanation — is part of Pro. Compare plans →
What changed
- Last 10 days
- +4.327.1 → 31.3
- Last 24 days
- +3.827.5 → 31.3
Evidence detected in the last 7 days
- Explicit tokenized-securities statement+3.1
Bullish: A $4.2 Billion Bet On Tokenized Securities Infrastructure (NYSE:BLSH)
Seeking Alpha Tier 4 source, Secondary - Tokenized shares issued+7.2
Bullish (Ondo Tokenized Stock) to Euro Price Today | Live BLSHon to EUR Converter & Exchange Rate
CryptoRank Tier 4 source, Secondary - Explicit tokenized-securities statement+2.9
Peter Thiel-Backed Bullish Sees Tokenized Stocks as a 'Giant Growth Opportunity' No One Saw Coming
finance.yahoo.com Tier 4 source, Secondary - Explicit tokenized-securities statement+1.9
Bullish Stock Gained 12%, Lost 11% the Next Day. The Tokenization Bet Just Got Slower.
TIKR.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
These are scored events the pipeline retrieved inside the window. A move is not only new evidence: existing signals also lose weight to time decay, corroboration can change, and company attributes such as funding or status can move a component. This list is limited by your plan, so there may be more.
ProHow much of the move was each factor
The windows and the evidence above are the whole free picture: what moved, and what arrived. Pro decomposes the move itself into new evidence, decay, corroboration and attribute changes, per dimension.
- Points from new evidence versus points lost to decay
- Corroboration and source-quality changes, separated
- Attribute changes: funding, valuation, status
- Any two dates, not just the fixed windows
Trend
| Company | IPO | Token | On-chain | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini Space StationDigital Assets | 35 | 0 | 0 | |
| KrakenDigital Assets | 37 | 41 | 32 | |
| Circle Internet GroupDigital Assets | 24 | 23 | 25 | |
| BitGoDigital Assets | 49 | 32 | 28 | |
| Exodus MovementDigital Assets | 19 | 12 | 10 | |
| RippleDigital Assets | 35 | 24 | 22 |
PROFILE
- Founded
- 2021
- Employees
- not on record
- Latest valuation
- none on record
- Latest round
- none on record
- Total funding
- none on record
- Major investors
- none on record
- Executives
- none on record
- Aliases
- Bullish
Institutional digital-asset exchange (owner of CoinDesk); listed on the NYSE in August 2025.
IPO SIGNAL SCORE
- Signal score
- 28.4 signal score — not a calibrated probability
- IPO readiness
- 35.0 structural (maturity, funding, valuation)
- Timeline estimate
- prediction already public
- Filing status
- fact PUBLIC
- Public/private
- public
- Known banks
- Morgan Stanleymentioned
- Advisors
- none detected
- Regulatory Evidence10.7 / 16.0 pts11 signals · 11 decayed signal(s), mass 66.1 → 66.7/100 (k=60) × weight 0.16
- Financial Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · company is already public
- Market Conditions4.0 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · 201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
- Filing Evidence2.4 / 20.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 7.1 → 12.1/100 (k=55) × weight 0.2
- Recency2.4 / 3.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 30d old (recency factor 0.79)
- Banking Evidence0.9 / 14.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 3.4 → 6.7/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Liquidity Evidence0.0 / 6.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Funding Maturity0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · total funding unknown, latest round unknown
- Executive Evidence0.0 / 8.0 pts4 signals · 4 decayed signal(s), mass -3.2 → 0.0/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Valuation Maturity0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no valuation on record
- Corporate Restructuring0.0 / 5.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
28.4 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
No evidence of this kind on record.
- Explicit tokenized-securities statement+3.1
Bullish: A $4.2 Billion Bet On Tokenized Securities Infrastructure (NYSE:BLSH)
Seeking Alpha Tier 4 source, Secondary - Explicit tokenized-securities statement+2.9
Peter Thiel-Backed Bullish Sees Tokenized Stocks as a 'Giant Growth Opportunity' No One Saw Coming
finance.yahoo.com Tier 4 source, Secondary - Explicit tokenized-securities statement+1.9
Bullish Stock Gained 12%, Lost 11% the Next Day. The Tokenization Bet Just Got Slower.
TIKR.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
TOKENIZATION SIGNAL SCORE
- Signal score
- 33.4
- On-chain readiness
- 36.3
- Tokenization partners
- Backed Financementioned
- Custody
- none detected
- Transfer agent
- EquinitimentionedEquinitiuses
- Exchanges / venues
- New York Stock Exchangementioned
- Settlement
- none detected
- Blockchains
- none detected
- Explicit Statements17.8 / 18.0 pts10 signals · 10 decayed signal(s), mass 219.1 → 98.7/100 (k=50) × weight 0.18
- Exchange Relationships5.1 / 8.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 45.2 → 63.4/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Securities Infrastructure3.9 / 12.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 19.6 → 32.4/100 (k=50) × weight 0.12
- Recency3.7 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 12d old (recency factor 0.93)
- Regulatory Readiness2.9 / 8.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 22.6 → 36.3/100 (k=50) × weight 0.08
- Custody Infrastructure0.0 / 7.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Blockchain Partnerships0.0 / 10.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Executive Statements0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Settlement Infrastructure0.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Tokenization Partnerships0.0 / 17.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
33.4 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Securities Infrastructure15.8 / 16.0 pts12 signals · 12 decayed signal(s), mass 211.6 → 98.5/100 (k=50) × weight 0.16
- Tokenization Provider7.1 / 14.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 35.1 → 50.4/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Transfer Infrastructure4.8 / 12.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 22.8 → 39.7/100 (k=45) × weight 0.12
- Regulatory Compatibility4.8 / 12.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 25.3 → 39.7/100 (k=50) × weight 0.12
- Kyc Aml Readiness3.9 / 10.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 22.5 → 39.3/100 (k=45) × weight 0.1
- Blockchain Integration0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Settlement0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
- Custody0.0 / 12.0 ptsCompany attribute · no signals in window
36.3 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Explicit tokenized-securities statement+3.1
Bullish: A $4.2 Billion Bet On Tokenized Securities Infrastructure (NYSE:BLSH)
Seeking Alpha Tier 4 source, Secondary - Tokenized shares issued+7.2
Bullish (Ondo Tokenized Stock) to Euro Price Today | Live BLSHon to EUR Converter & Exchange Rate
CryptoRank Tier 4 source, Secondary - Explicit tokenized-securities statement+2.9
Peter Thiel-Backed Bullish Sees Tokenized Stocks as a 'Giant Growth Opportunity' No One Saw Coming
finance.yahoo.com Tier 4 source, Secondary - Explicit tokenized-securities statement+1.9
Bullish Stock Gained 12%, Lost 11% the Next Day. The Tokenization Bet Just Got Slower.
TIKR.com Tier 4 source, Secondary
Signal timeline
- TOKENIZATIONExplicit tokenized-securities statement+3.1high
Bullish: A $4.2 Billion Bet On Tokenized Securities Infrastructure (NYSE:BLSH)
Seeking Alpha Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- TOK+1.74 ptsdecay ×0.93Explicit tokenized-securities statement: base 60 × strength high × source quality 0.75 (tier 3) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
- CHAIN+1.36 ptsdecay ×0.95Digital securities infrastructure adopted: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.75 (tier 3) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
- TOKENIZATIONTokenized shares issued+7.2very high
Bullish (Ondo Tokenized Stock) to Euro Price Today | Live BLSHon to EUR Converter & Exchange Rate
CryptoRank Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- TOK+2.85 ptsdecay ×0.88Tokenized shares issued: base 100 × strength very_high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- CHAIN+1.16 ptsdecay ×0.92Digital securities infrastructure adopted: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- CHAIN+3.14 ptsdecay ×0.92Tokenization provider engaged: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.80
- providers
- Ondo Finance
- TOKENIZATIONExplicit tokenized-securities statement+2.9high
Peter Thiel-Backed Bullish Sees Tokenized Stocks as a 'Giant Growth Opportunity' No One Saw Coming
finance.yahoo.com Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- TOK+1.60 ptsdecay ×0.86Explicit tokenized-securities statement: base 60 × strength high × source quality 0.75 (tier 3) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
- CHAIN+1.29 ptsdecay ×0.90Digital securities infrastructure adopted: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.75 (tier 3) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
- TOKENIZATIONExplicit tokenized-securities statement+1.9high
Bullish Stock Gained 12%, Lost 11% the Next Day. The Tokenization Bet Just Got Slower.
TIKR.com Tier 4 source, SecondaryHow this scored
- TOK+1.05 ptsdecay ×0.85Explicit tokenized-securities statement: base 60 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
- CHAIN+0.85 ptsdecay ×0.90Digital securities infrastructure adopted: base 50 × strength high × source quality 0.50 (tier 4) × corroboration 1.00 (0 independent) × confidence 0.60
Showing the 4 most recent of 37 scored events, from the last 30 days. Every one above is real, with its own source and scoring arithmetic.
ProEvery event, not only the most recent
The full history is 37 events. The 4 most recent are above with their evidence intact — Pro removes the window rather than unlocking anything hidden inside it.
- All 37 events, with no date window
- The individual signal behind each score component
- Day-over-day change attribution
- Export and graph exploration
SEC filings
| Filed | Form | Description | Seen | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | 4 | 9 h ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-09-10 | 4 | 9 h ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-09-09 | 4 | 4 | 9 h ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-08 | 4 | 4 | 3 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-09-08 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-28 | N-PX | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-19 | 13F-HR | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-19 | 13F-HR | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-19 | 13F-HR | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-13 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-13 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-08-06 | SCHEDULE 13G | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-08-06 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-07-31 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-07-24 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-07-07 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-06-29 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-06-08 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-05-20 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-05-14 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-05-13 | 4 | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-05-07 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-05-06 | 4 | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-05-05 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-05-05 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-04-23 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-04-13 | 4 | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-04-08 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-04-06 | 4 | 4 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-03-18 | 3 | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-03-18 | 3 | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-03-18 | 3 | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-03-18 | 3 | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-03-18 | 3 | 3 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-03-18 | 3/A | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-03-18 | 3 | 4 d ago | sec.gov | |
| 2026-03-18 | 3 | 3 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-03-10 | 20-F | FORM 20-F | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-03-06 | 6-K | FORM 6-K | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
| 2026-02-13 | 144 | 4 d ago | sec.gov |
Institutional relationships
| Relation | Entity | Role | Conf. | Last seen | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOKENIZES | Ondo Finance | tokenization provider | 80% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| USES | Equiniti | transfer agent | 80% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | Morgan Stanley | bank | 60% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | New York Stock Exchange | exchange | 40% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | Backed Finance | tokenization provider | 40% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
| MENTIONED | Equiniti | transfer agent | 40% | 4 d ago | news.google.com |
A relationship is a signal, not proof: a bank mention does not mean an IPO mandate.
Signal contributions
These are the real component scores carrying Bullish right now — the points each contributes, the weight it carries in its dimension, and how many signals sit behind it.
- Regulatory Evidence10.7 / 16.0 pts11 signals · 11 decayed signal(s), mass 66.1 → 66.7/100 (k=60) × weight 0.16
- Financial Maturity8.0 / 8.0 ptsCompany attribute · company is already public
- Market Conditions4.0 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · 201 S-1/F-1 filings on EDGAR in last 90d vs baseline 60
- Filing Evidence2.4 / 20.0 pts3 signals · 3 decayed signal(s), mass 7.1 → 12.1/100 (k=55) × weight 0.2
- Recency2.4 / 3.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 30d old (recency factor 0.79)
6 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
28.4 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Explicit Statements17.8 / 18.0 pts10 signals · 10 decayed signal(s), mass 219.1 → 98.7/100 (k=50) × weight 0.18
- Exchange Relationships5.1 / 8.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 45.2 → 63.4/100 (k=45) × weight 0.08
- Securities Infrastructure3.9 / 12.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 19.6 → 32.4/100 (k=50) × weight 0.12
- Recency3.7 / 4.0 ptsCompany attribute · most recent supporting signal 12d old (recency factor 0.93)
- Regulatory Readiness2.9 / 8.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 22.6 → 36.3/100 (k=50) × weight 0.08
5 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
33.4 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
- Securities Infrastructure15.8 / 16.0 pts12 signals · 12 decayed signal(s), mass 211.6 → 98.5/100 (k=50) × weight 0.16
- Tokenization Provider7.1 / 14.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 35.1 → 50.4/100 (k=50) × weight 0.14
- Transfer Infrastructure4.8 / 12.0 pts1 signal · 1 decayed signal(s), mass 22.8 → 39.7/100 (k=45) × weight 0.12
- Regulatory Compatibility4.8 / 12.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 25.3 → 39.7/100 (k=50) × weight 0.12
- Kyc Aml Readiness3.9 / 10.0 pts2 signals · 2 decayed signal(s), mass 22.5 → 39.3/100 (k=45) × weight 0.1
3 further components below 0.1 pts not shown.
36.3 points total, out of 100 available at these weights.
ProThe individual signal behind every component
Component-level attribution is on every plan and is shown above in full. What Pro adds here is the row-by-row arithmetic: which filing or article produced each component, and every factor applied to it.
- Every contributing signal with its own row
- Base weight, strength, source quality, corroboration, confidence and decay per signal
- The source document behind each line
- Day-over-day change attribution
IPO Radar is a research and intelligence tool. Scores are signal scores derived from public evidence — they are not calibrated probabilities and not investment advice. FACT, INFERENCE and PREDICTION are kept separate, and every event links to its source.